Reinforcement Learning Based Solar Power Nowcasting With Realtime Cloud Path Prediction

• doi: 10.1109/EECon64470.2024.10841874
• title: Reinforcement Learning Based Solar Power Nowcasting with Real-time Cloud Path Prediction
• publisher: IEEE
• isbn: 979-8-3315-0596-7
• issn:
• rank: 3433
• access_type: LOCKED
• content_type: Conferences
• abstract: The integration of solar power into Sri Lanka’s power grid is challenged by the intermittent nature of solar energy due to cloud cover. This research presents an intelligent control system for real-time cloud path prediction and solar power forecasting. Utilizing a sky-imaging device with a fisheye lens and CMOS IMX179 sensor, the system captures high-resolution sky images. A custom YOLOv8 model detects clouds and the sun, while ByteTrack and centroid-based tracking analyze cloud trajectories. Reinforcement learning is employed to predict cloud trajectories, and a random forest algorithm forecasts power output fluctuations. Results demonstrate the system’s effectiveness in providing accurate, real-time solar power forecasts, contributing to enhanced grid stability and supporting renewable energy goals in Sri Lanka.
• article_number: 10841874
• pdf_url: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=10841874
• html_url: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10841874/
• abstract_url: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10841874/
• publication_title: 2024 4th International Conference on Electrical Engineering (EECon)
• conference_location: Colombo, Sri Lanka
• conference_dates: 12-12 Dec. 2024
• publication_number: 10841830
• is_number: 10841851
• publication_year: 2024
• publication_date: 12-12 Dec. 2024
• start_page: 1
• end_page: 6
• citing_paper_count: 0
• citing_patent_count: 0
• download_count: 28
• insert_date: 20250117
• index_terms:
  • ieee_terms:
    • Semiconductor device modeling
    • Cloud computing
    • Renewable energy sources
    • Reinforcement learning
    • Solar energy
    • Power system stability
    • Real-time systems
    • Stability analysis
    • Trajectory
    • Sun
  • author_terms:
    • Solar power
    • Renewable energy
    • Cloud path prediction
    • Sky imaging
    • YOLOv8
    • Real-time object detection
    • Solar energy forecasting
    • Reinforcement learning
    • Grid stability
  • dynamic_index_terms:
    • Solar Power
    • Real-time Prediction
    • Path Prediction
    • Real-time Path
    • Predictive Power
    • Renewable Energy
    • Clean Energy
    • Alternative Energy
    • Sustainable Energy
    • Random Forest
    • Output Power
    • Solar Energy
    • Power Grid
    • Intelligent Control
    • Fisheye Lens
    • Wide-angle Lens
    • Fisheye Camera
    • Fisheye Lenses
    • Grid Stability
    • Power Generation
    • Electricity Generation
    • Object Detection
    • Long Short-term Memory
    • LSTM
    • Power Plants
    • Kalman Filter
    • Prediction Time
    • Edge Detection
    • Solar Plants
    • Solar Power Plants
    • Solar Farms
    • Photovoltaic Farm
    • Photovoltaic Power Stations
    • Photovoltaic Power Plants
    • Camera Calibration
    • Power Fluctuations
    • Short-term Forecasting
    • Camera Module
    • Intrinsic Parameters
    • Gradient Boosting
    • Distortion Correction
    • Predictive Power Of The Model
• isbn_formats:
  • format: Print on Demand(PoD) ISBN, value: 979-8-3315-0596-7, isbnType: New-2005
  • format: Electronic ISBN, value: 979-8-3315-0595-0, isbnType: New-2005
• authors:
  • Author Name: Asanka Rodrigo
    Affiliation: Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
    Author URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/author/37085357452
    ID: 37085357452
    Order: 1
    Author Affiliations:
    • Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
  • Author Name: U.U.H.K. Gunawardhana
    Affiliation: Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
    Author URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/author/742856619535254
    ID: 742856619535254
    Order: 2
    Author Affiliations:
    • Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
  • Author Name: P.M.A.P. Pathiraja
    Affiliation: Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
    Author URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/author/885102383354758
    ID: 885102383354758
    Order: 3
    Author Affiliations:
    • Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
  • Author Name: S.D. Gunawardena
    Affiliation: Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
    Author URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/author/260500392065974
    ID: 260500392065974
    Order: 4
    Author Affiliations:
    • Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
  • Author Name: N.S. Jagoda
    Affiliation: Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka
    Author URL: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/author/986303089052853
    ID: 986303089052853
    Order: 5
    Author Affiliations:
    • Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Sri Lanka

Image Sensor

• sensor_type: CMOS
• resolution: 3264x2448
• dynamic_range: Not specified
• pixel_size: Not specified
• dark_current: Not specified

Optical Data

• focal_length: Not specified
• aperture: Not specified
• field_of_view: 170 degrees
• distortion: Not specified

Performance Metrics

Applications & Benefits

• cell_imaging: Not specified
• benefits: High-resolution imaging suitable for real-time processing and applications in solar power forecasting and environmental monitoring.

Supporting Organizations

• supported_by: ELP Camera

Manuscript Details

• publication_date: 12-12 Dec. 2024

Relevancy Score

• score: 8
• missing_fields:
  • dynamic_range
  • dark_current
  • focal_length
  • aperture
  • frame_rate
  • signal_to_noise_ratio
  • sensitivity
  • shutter_speed
  • power_consumption
  • noise

Processed JSON Filename

request_01563cea-46be-4b3f-85a3-a82a9e1c7644-reinforcement_learning_based_solar_power_nowcasting_with_realtime_cloud_path_prediction.json